Saturday, September 6, 2008

Ike Update


Ike re-intensified as expected and is now a Cat 4. The shear that was battling Ike has now diminished and allowed Ike to regain strength and get down to business… the business of heading toward the Gulf and now possibly toward New Orleans!

All the models are in agreement on ike hitting Cuba Sunday night but after that they start to disagree as always. From what I see at this time, a sweeping curve toward Grand Isle is quite possible. Steering currents are weaker right now in the Gulf which could leave Ike off the Florida coast in a stall that would certainly cause problems for Florida’s west coast and will also make prediction of landfall difficult.

Any way you look at it, with the waters warmer and shear at a low, Ike will gain strength after visiting the islands and will definitely be a threat to the Gulf Coast states within 2 days.