Saturday, September 27, 2008

Tropical Storm Kyle


Tropical Storm Kyle is showing a little more promise than yesterday, but not much. I think it is possible that Kyle could become a Category 1 hurricane which a couple of the models are predicting however with water temperatures dropping and shear increasing, he will have to fight to stay so alive.

Storm surge should not be a major issue with Kyle. If it makes landfall in the Maine/New Brunswick region as a Category 1 hurricane, it would likely generate a storm surge in the 3-5 foot range, according to NOAA's SLOSH model. Given that the range between low tide and high tide is at least 12 feet in the region, Kyle would have to hit very close to high tide to cause any storm surge flooding. Kyle's likely impact as a tropical storm makes surge flooding problems improbable.Kyle's cone of uncertainty covers the eastern coast of Maine and the western half of the coast of Nova Scotia. I would put the good money on Nova Scotia who will experience most of Kyle’s worst winds and rain.

A disturbance around the Yucatan mixed with warm waters near Naples could be of interest of the western side of Florida over the next few days. We will keep you informed.

Don’t forget that The KHASTV Chasing4Life Team will be in Cozad, Nebraska on Wednesday, October 1st with a special presentation, free food and a vehicle demonstration.