Monday, August 18, 2008

Fay


Okay, after a long weekend of travel, the chase team is all back in Nebraska. While we were gone, Fay decided to make her approach and hit the Keys today with more strength than many expected. The West coast of Florida will see Fay in all her glory tomorrow as she makes landfall probably between Marco Island and Fort Meyers. Because of Fay’s direction of travel, even the slightest change or wobble could drastically change where she makes landfall so we are hoping that the folks down along the Gulf are heeding the warnings and are prepared.
Storm surge is going to be a big issue here as always as a Category One can result in storm surges of 4-8 feet.

As for Fay’s long-term plans, nobody is sure, but it appears that Fay will travel across the State of Florida emerging off the East Coast restrengthening again in the warm water and then will return to the coastline somewhere near the Georgia/North Carolina Coast!

We’ve seen hurricanes like this before, as you may remember, just a few years ago; hurricanes that meandered back and forth like a vacationer with too much time on their hands.

It’s possible that Fay takes a turn and stays to the West which could spell trouble for Louisiana, but the only the next few hours will really determine what her direction will be.

Should Fay stall over Central Florida, she could very well be pushed back to make a second landfall on the peninsula again. Flooding will be a major factor should this happen as she will travel “over the same roads” twice.

We’ll keep you updated.